Federal Institute for Population Research

Journal ArticlesAge structure changes and the potential for demographic dividends

Dörflinger, Markus; Loichinger, Elke (2024)

N-IUSSP 20/05/2024

The demographic dividend describes the economic growth potential based on shifts towards a larger share of working-age population when fertility declines in the course of the demographic transition. Markus Dörflinger and Elke Loichinger’s global analysis from 1950 to 2100 reveals notable differences – associated with fertility, migration, and population momentum – in the patterns of change in the share of working-age population across countries.